I am always curious how analysts make these estimates but the latest one is coming from RBC analyst Mike Abramsky. He estimates that RIM sold 250,000 PlayBooks in the first 30 days since launch. He also claims that they might sell 500,000 in the first quarter after launch. These “estimates” are based on “Checks at 180 Best Buys show 14 percent of the 16GB model sold out, 71 percent of the 32GB model sold out, and 84 percent of the 64GB model sold out; however, 32GB/64GB stock-outs appear allocation-related.”
I am not a mathematician or anything but that does not seem very scientific but I guess that is why it is an estimate. I am not sure what sort of extrapolations Abramsky is using but it seems to be missing big players like Staples, Radio Shack, and the many other retail locations. On top of that checking at Best Buy stores totally disregards the business market which does not head on over to Best Buy store to pick up multiple devices.
What do you think? Even at 250,000 that is a pretty nice following for the PlayBook and RIM only has more features to come. via AllThingsD